An NYT article claims that divorce rates have dropped.
Here’s the chart:
Overall, the “rates” don’t really look to be dropping much at all because they are pretty much all on similar trajectories.
There’s also no real “spike” for the so-called 7 year itch either.
The “spike” for the 1980s and 1990s seems to be in 2008, since the data for those married in 2000 only goes up to 8 years. That’s when the market crashed from the housing bubble, and tons of people lost their houses and/or jobs. When husbands don’t have jobs, wives tend to divorce in much greater numbers.
Overall, if the rates are dropping for those in the 2000s, it’s because:
- There are less marriages overall and thus there are less divorces.
- Cohabitation is on the rise.
- Men tend to see marriage as a bad deal for them, and so they are just either opting out or only getting married if they are REALLY sure.
- The more unattractive men that would’ve gotten married and divorced simply aren’t getting married anymore since they can’t find women. These would-be divorces simply never come to be.
- Men are less masculine now, and women are less feminine.
If men and women married at the same rates as they did in the latter 1900s, then you’d definitely see drastically more divorces than the charts indicate. That’s why simply looking at divorce rates is deceptive.