I’ve gone over the spinsterhood and childlessness projections before,
They estimate it’s going to be about 25% in the long run, or approximately on the upper bounds of what I estimated. However, that’s just singleness and doesn’t necessarily include unwanted cohabitation. Therefore, the number of women that are unhappy is likely about 10% larger than that which would place that around 35%.
The new data jives closely with what I predicted which would be the unwanted spinsterhood and unwanted cohabitation would likely be around 35%. Theoretically, it could still keep getting worse but we’ll see.
Since about 33% of women are freezing themselves out the market or unwanted cohabitation, I’d estimate there’s going to be in the range of 15-20% indefinitely incel men. Some amount of these 33% women won’t want to share some man, don’t want to cohabitate, or other options but they will do it anyway.
Most men and most women will still get married and stay married, but you will want to be in the top 50% if not the top 20% to have attraction working for you in terms of being a strong, masculine leader and the rest of the attractive traits.
Christianity and masculinity 
I remember back in 2014, when the latest data we had was from 2009 or so. Those of us in the market were saying, “A lot fewer people are getting married and the ones who do manage to get married are quite a bit older.” A segment of the blogosphere told us it didn’t matter, because the average age at first marriage of a man in 1890 was something like 26. “It’s happened before, it’s probably just a blip and things will get back to normal.”
Well, we were right. It’s an unfortunate thing to be right about. But we were right.
@ jvangeld
Yup, it;s a big combination of a lot of women are pricing themselves out of the market and lots of men starting to not care anymore.