On Dalrock’s recent thread. I’ve been wanting to write about this for a while, but now seems like a good time.
I get tired of the doom and gloom about how there are no chaste Christian girls left. (And a girl who chooses not to be chaste isn’t a Christian. Sorry, but that’s how it works.) They don’t hang around the manosphere tho or go on Christian dating websites.
Preach it, brother. I totally, wholeheartedly agree with you.
I have said it before, that a whole lot of guys on this site who keep complaining, somewhat like Elijah, that there were no longer any righteous/chaste/desirable/godly/marriage-worthy women in America, are looking at the wrong places. Or they are simply too lazy to do the work of finding a great wife. Or they are too immobilized under the weight of their crushing unbelief to trust God to guide them.
At the same time, there are men on this site who are married to chaste, godly, and beautiful women. Yes, right here in America.
And I am fully confident that America still has literally millions of attractive, chaste and godly women who are praying everyday for God to send them a husband.
I suppose the big question is… are there millions of attractive, chaste, and godly women left in America. Good question.
Let’s find out.
- There are 10,466,258 women aged 25-29 and 10,571,823 women aged 20-24 and 10,736,677 women aged 15-19 in the US. Let’s say the range from 18-29 is good. 18-19 make up 40% of the 15-19 range so approximately 4294671 women.
2010 Census Data. Not much changes in 5 years given the chart as each population group is still roughly 10 million. http://www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/briefs/c2010br-03.pdf
Total women in 18-29 age range = 25,332,752
- Less than 20% of Americans regularly attend church — half of what the pollsters report. While Gallup polls and other statisticians have turned in the same percentage — about 40% of the population — of average weekend church attendees for the past 70 years, a different sort of research paints quite a disparate picture of how many Americans attend a local church on any given Sunday.
Total women in 18-29 age range that attend Church regularly = 25,332,752 * .2 = 5,066,550
- We also know that 70% of young adults in the 18-22 range drop out of church.
Total women in 18-29 age range that attend Church regularly that didn’t drop out = 5,066,550 * .3 = 1,519,965
- 58.5 of women 20-39 years old are overweight or obese in 2011-2012 in the US
Total women in 18-29 age range that attend Church regularly, that didn’t drop out, and aren’t overweight or obese = 1,519,965 * .415 = 630785
- In highly religious groups, up to 20% wait [to have sex] until marriage successfully. Naturally, religious people seem more likely to wait until marriage to have sex. In a study of 9 Southern Babtist churches in Texas (it doesn’t get much more conservative than that), 20% of the church members aged 25 or younger were married without ever having premarital sex.
Total women in 18-29 age range that attend Church regularly, that didn’t drop out, and aren’t overweight or obese, and are virgins at marriage = 630785 * .2 = 126,157
That’s dismal in my opinion.
I didn’t even take into account some other factors like the fact that many of these women in the age 18-29 are focused on careers over marriage… or aren’t even really Christians as most of the people in Church play lip service to Jesus. For example,
- The National Marriage Project also found that “about 80 percent of young-adult men and women continued to rate marriage as an ‘important’ part of their life plans; almost half of them described it as ‘very important.’” Thirty percent of 25-year-old single women want to be married. Read more at http://national.deseretnews.com/article/1893/The-national-marriage-age-is-increasing-but-not-for-this-group-of-people.html . Only ~30% of women want to be married in the 18-30 age range on average approximately.
- Those who attend church are not always “Christians.” Based on my experience and others I’d say that only 10-20% of Christians in churches are actually reading their Bible and striving to obey Scripture.
- Worse measures of virginity in non-extremely conservative Church populations.
- Denominational differences. This clumps all religions together (hindu, muslum, etc.) not just Catholic and Protestant.
In conclusion, there are approximately 125,000 (126,157) Christian women in the US aged 18-29 who regularly attend Church, aren’t overweight or obese, and are virgins at marriage. This is approximately 0.5% of the 18-29 total population (126,157 / 25,332,752). Pretty rare. In the US total population it is .039% (126,157 / 320,090,000).
I would say this is a decent estimate given that I didn’t factor in some of the non-independent variables. For example, those who are virgins are more likely to attend Church, and those who obey Jesus are more likely to be virgins. There are some independent such as the fact that obesity and overweight rates are similar across most of the adult population. However, I didn’t take into account some variables such as careerism, decreased measures of chastity, and lip service Christians so the estimate is probably close to being on target.
It is highly unlikely that there are millions as Dave put it. Probably a factor of 10 or less. Also, note that this number will decrease as feminism becomes more pervasive and the Church continues to take on cultural mores rather than Jesus.
Specifically, in any random Church the percentage that you’ll find a 18-29 year old attractive, Christian virgin is going to be .2 (virginity at marriage) * .415 (not overweight or obese) = 8.30%. In other words, about 1 in 12.
The main problem is that the top 10% Christian “alpha” will relationship her quick and marry her straight up, so it’s likely that your average Christian man will even get a shot. That’s worse odds than the traditional Pareto principle 80/20 rule which is about 1 in 4. In other words, you have to become the attractive top 5% of a man in order to have a good shot at marrying an attractive, virgin, Christian woman.
Thems the statistics. More than you thought? Less than you thought? I’d love to hear what everyone else thinks.